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用预报残差最小的逐步回归方法作黄河上游旱涝预测试验
引用本文:黄嘉佑,王云璋.用预报残差最小的逐步回归方法作黄河上游旱涝预测试验[J].高原气象,1990,9(4):439-442.
作者姓名:黄嘉佑  王云璋
作者单位:北京大学地球物理系 (黄嘉佑),黄河水利委员会(王云璋)
摘    要:本文提出用预报残差最小的逐步回归方法作预报,较之传统的逐步回归具有计算简便、适应于小型计算机计算等优点。在作黄河上游旱涝预测试验中表明有较好的效果。

关 键 词:残差  逐步回归  旱涝  降水量  预报

THE STEPWISE REGRESSION METHOD WITH MINIMUM OF FORECAST ERROR: AN EXPERIMENT FOR DROUGHT AND FLOOD FORECASTING IN THE UPPER BASIN OF YELLOW RIVER
Huang Jiayou.THE STEPWISE REGRESSION METHOD WITH MINIMUM OF FORECAST ERROR: AN EXPERIMENT FOR DROUGHT AND FLOOD FORECASTING IN THE UPPER BASIN OF YELLOW RIVER[J].Plateau Meteorology,1990,9(4):439-442.
Authors:Huang Jiayou
Abstract:The new stepwise regression method with minimum of forecast error is proposed in this paper. It is more simple, convenient, and easier used in microcomputer than the traditional stepwise regression. The results of forecasting precipitation in the area of the upper basin of Yellow River show that it is more efficient than the traditional method.
Keywords:Stepwise regression with predictable error  Stepwise regression  Forecasting for precipitation
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