| MM5模式对乌鲁木齐地区冬、春季降水预报能力检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 窦新英,孙贵成.MM5模式对乌鲁木齐地区冬、春季降水预报能力检验[J].新疆气象,2001,24(6):4-6. |
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| 作者姓名： | 窦新英 孙贵成 |
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| 作者单位： | 乌鲁木齐市气象局 新疆乌鲁木齐830002
(窦新英)，乌鲁木齐市气象局 新疆乌鲁木齐830002(孙贵成) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用MM5模式输出的未来24h累计降水量预报值，对2000年11月至2001年5月乌鲁木齐地区5个气象站进行降水预报效果的分析检验，发现：MM5模式的降水预报能力平原优于山区及达坂城谷地；南山山区空报次数较市站成倍增加，而漏报次数较少；达坂城站预报正确率很低，空，漏报次数较多。
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| 关 键 词： | MM5 数值预报 预报效果 检验 降水预报 冬季 春季 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0799(2001)06-0004-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年8月15日 |
Effective Test of The MM5 Numerical Rainfall Prediction Products in Urumqi During Winter and Spring |
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| DOU Xinying,SUN Guicheng.Effective Test of The MM5 Numerical Rainfall Prediction Products in Urumqi During Winter and Spring[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2001,24(6):4-6. |
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| Authors: | DOU Xinying SUN Guicheng |
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| Abstract: | Throug the constrast and analyze of the MM5 numerical model products from Nov.2000 to May.2001 and the data of precipitation,it is found that the accuracy of forecast in the plains,is better than that in the south mountain,the misses of forecast in the south mountain,are more than that in the plains the worst effect is appeared in Dabancheng. |
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| Keywords: | MM5 numerical forecast effect test |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
