| 大气电场异常判别及预报效能的统计检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵明,刘元壮,张天中.大气电场异常判别及预报效能的统计检验[J].地震,1999,19(3):281-287. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵明 刘元壮 张天中 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国北京 100081 中国地震局地球物理研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地震局地球物理研究所项目;98A02072; |
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| 摘 要： | 依据郝建国等提出的异常判别规则对大气电场的原始观测资料重新进行了异常判别和分组, 并依据朱成熹等提出的效率值法,分别对监测到的异常及实际上报的异常与地震预报的相关进行了统计检验及评分,信度在 15% 以下,该方法通过了假设检验。 结果表明,这一方法用于地震预报是有统计依据的。
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| 关 键 词： | 大气电场 异常判别 预报效能 统计检验 |
| 收稿时间： | 1998-05-25 |
| 修稿时间： | 1998-08-31 |
DISCRIMINATION OF ATMOSPHERIC ELECTRONIC FILED ANOMALIES AND STATISTICAL TEST OF PREDICTION EFFECTIVENESS |
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| Zhao Ming,Liu Yuanzhuang,Zhang Tianzhong.DISCRIMINATION OF ATMOSPHERIC ELECTRONIC FILED ANOMALIES AND STATISTICAL TEST OF PREDICTION EFFECTIVENESS[J].Earthquake,1999,19(3):281-287. |
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| Authors: | Zhao Ming Liu Yuanzhuang Zhang Tianzhong |
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| Institution: | Institute of Geophysics, CSB, Beijing 100081, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the original data of atmospheric electric field is classified according to the anomaly criteria given by Hao Jianguo and others, then the statistical test is carried out for the correlation between the earthquake events and the observed corresponding anomalies and the correlation between the predicted earthquakes and the actual events, and finally the prediction evaluation is made according to Zhu's method. When the creditability is 15%, the method passes the statistical test, and it is proved that the method is reasonable for the earthquake prediction. |
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| Keywords: | Atmospheric electric field Anomaly criteria Prediction effectiveness Statistical test |
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