| 沂沭带北段近期地震活动特征及地震危险性预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 华爱军 赵兴兰. 沂沭带北段近期地震活动特征及地震危险性预测[J]. 华北地震科学, 1993, 11(3): 70-79 |
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| 作者姓名： | 华爱军 赵兴兰 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东省地震局 济南 |
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| 摘 要： | 主要利用《地震学分析预报方法程式指南》的方法,对沂沭带北段进行系统的计算分析研究。结果表明该区近期将无较大地震发生,b值外推缺ML4.3级地震。同时,利用灰色理论对该区未来地震危险性作出预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震活动性 地震 危险性 沂沭带 |
SEISMIC ACTIVITY CHARACTERISTICS AND ESTIMATION OF SEISMIC RISK IN THE NEAR FUTURE ON THE NORTHSEGMENT OF YISHU BELT |
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| Hua Aijun Zhao Xinglan Tangqing. SEISMIC ACTIVITY CHARACTERISTICS AND ESTIMATION OF SEISMIC RISK IN THE NEAR FUTURE ON THE NORTHSEGMENT OF YISHU BELT[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1993, 11(3): 70-79 |
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| Authors: | Hua Aijun Zhao Xinglan Tangqing |
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| Abstract: | Mainly by the methods presented in the guidebook on seismological analysis prediction methods, this paper analyzes the seismic activity characteristics and seismic risk on the northsegment of Yishu belt, The results indicate that there will be no relatively large earthquakes in this area in the near future and the area lacks a M_14. 3 earthquake according to the extrapolation by b value. Meanwhile, the estimations of seismic risk of the area is made by grey theory. |
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| Keywords: | north-segment of Yishu belt seismic activity characteristics grey prediction |
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