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祁连山西段测震指标异常综合应用
引用本文:苏宏伟,肖淑娟.祁连山西段测震指标异常综合应用[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2012,33(5):30-34.
作者姓名:苏宏伟  肖淑娟
作者单位:中国甘肃735100,嘉峪关中心地震台
摘    要:通过对1980年以来至今14个指标的全时间扫描,并使用祁连山西段地区Ms5.0地震进行对应。结果表明,选取A值、AC值、A(b)值、b值、Mf值和地震活动度S值进行同步异常分析,能显著提高祁连山西段地区的有震报震率,但有漏报。对目前地区异常集中区进行时间扫描,结果显示,祁连山西段地区出现同步异常,认为2012年或稍长时期有发生Ms≥5.0中强震的可能。

关 键 词:祁连山西段  地震学指标  同步异常  地震预报

Integrated application of seismological abnormalities in wertern Qilian Mountains
Su Hongwei , Xiao Shujuan.Integrated application of seismological abnormalities in wertern Qilian Mountains[J].Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research,2012,33(5):30-34.
Authors:Su Hongwei  Xiao Shujuan
Institution:(Jiayuguan Central Seismic Station, Gansu Province 735100, China)
Abstract:In this paper, using full time scanning method, 14 seismic indicatos since 1980 are calculated and the correspondence analysis with the earthquake of Ms 5. 0 in western region of Qilian Mountains is carried out. The results show that with the selected of A value, AC value, A(b) value, b value, Mf values and S values, the seismic activity analysis of synchronous exception can significantly improve the report rate of earthquakes in the western region of Qilian Mountains, but there are omissions. The time scanning on currently anomaly gathering region shows that a synchronous anomaly occurs at wertern region of Qilian Mountains. It suggest that a moderate-strong earthquake of Ms ≥5. 0 may occur there in 2012 or more longer time period.
Keywords:western Qilian Mountains  seismic indicators  sync anomaly  earthquake prediction
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