| 基于可公度性的厄尔尼诺事件预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯利华,许晓路.基于可公度性的厄尔尼诺事件预报[J].海洋预报,2000,17(4):16-20. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯利华 许晓路 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江师范大学地理系,金华 |
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| 摘 要： | 可公度性表示自然界事物之间的一种秩序。利用可公度性的原理和方法，对厄尔尼诺事件的长期变化过程进行了预报分析，其结果是比较好的，这对防灾减灾具有重要的实际意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 可公度性 厄尔尼诺事件 预报 长期变化 防灾减灾 自然界 利用 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000-01-16 |
FORECAST OF EL NINO EVENT BASED ON COMMENSURABILITY |
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| Feng Lihua,Xu Xiaolu.FORECAST OF EL NINO EVENT BASED ON COMMENSURABILITY[J].Marine Forecasts,2000,17(4):16-20. |
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| Authors: | Feng Lihua Xu Xiaolu |
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| Institution: | Feng Lihua
,Xu Xiaolu
;(Department of Geography Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua) |
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| Abstract: | Commensurability indicates an order of the natural phenomena. The long-term change process of the EL Nino event is forecasted and analyzed by means of the principle and method of commensurability. The result seems good, which is of the actual significance for the disaster prevention and disaster reduction. |
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| Keywords: | EL Ninoevent commensurability ommensurableformula commensurable set frequency |
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