| 灰色系统GM(1,1)模型在预测汾河水库淤积中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李霞,胡彩虹. 灰色系统GM(1,1)模型在预测汾河水库淤积中的应用[J]. 气象与环境科学, 2007, 30(2): 17-19 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李霞 胡彩虹 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西水利科学研究院,南宁,530023;郑州大学环境与水利学院,郑州,450001 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金 , 国家重点实验室基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析汾河水库降水、来水及淤积特性的基础上,运用灰色系统理论建立了汾河水库淤积灰色模型,并对汾河水库的淤积量进行了预测,结果表明,汾河水库在未来10 a内淤积量将进一步减少,表明第一期水保措施发挥了明显的作用,并提出了相应的保护措施,为汾河水库的开发利用提供了可靠依据.
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| 关 键 词： | GM(1,1)模型 汾河水库 淤积 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-7148（2007）02-0017-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-04-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-182007-04-26 |
Application of Grey System GM( 1,1 ) Model on Forecasting Sediment of Fenhe Reservoir |
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| Li Xi,Hu Caihong. Application of Grey System GM( 1,1 ) Model on Forecasting Sediment of Fenhe Reservoir[J]. Meteorological and Environmental Sciences, 2007, 30(2): 17-19 |
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| Authors: | Li Xi Hu Caihong |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Water Conservancy Science Academic of Guangxi, Nanning 530023, China; 2. College of Environment and Water Conservancy of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China |
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| Abstract: | The grey deposition model is established by using the grey system on the basis of study the precipitation, water inflow and sediment characteristics of the Fenhe reservoir. And the deposition of the Fenhe reservoir is forecasted. The results show that the deposition volume will be minished in the future 10 years, which shows the soil-and-water conservation measure takes effective action. The corresponding measures of Fenhe reservoir conservation are suggested. |
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| Keywords: | land consolidation ecological environmental construction ecological environmental effect |
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