The integrated risk assessment and zoning of meteorological disaster in Heilongjiang Province of China

This paper describes studies on the integrated risk assessment and zoning of meteorological disaster in Heilongjiang Province, in northeastern China, by using information-diffusion theory and cluster method with 35 years of summer temperature and precipitation data from 74 meteorological stations from 1971 through 2005. The information-diffusion theory has been used extensively in risk assessment, yet almost no one has done research about risk assessment by information-diffusion theory based on meteorological disaster standards. Some research results are as follows: the risk probability of low temperature and cold damage in the northern region is higher than that in the southern region; the risk probability of general low temperature and cold damage in the southwestern region is the highest; the risk probability of serious low temperature and cold damage in the northern region is the highest, followed by the central and southeast region; the high-risk region of arid disaster in Heilongjiang Province was primarily located in the southwestern, central, and southern parts of the province; the high-intensity arid disaster was located in the southeastern region; the high-risk region of flood in Heilongjiang Province was primarily located from the southwest and then across the central part to the western part of Heilongjiang Province; the high-intensity flood disasters were located in almost every part of Heilongjiang Province. We can conclude from the integrated meteorological disaster risk zoning that the high-risk region of meteorological disaster is primarily located in the southern and northern part of the province, the moderate-risk region is distributed in the central southern region and western region, the low-risk region is located in the eastern part, and the light-risk region is located in the central western part of Heilongjiang Province.