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Chinese Contribution to CMIP5:An Overview of Five Chinese Models’Performances
作者姓名:ZHOU Tianjun  CHEN Xiaolong  DONG Lu  WU Bo  MAN Wenmin  ZHANG Lixi  LIN Renping  YAO Junchen  SONG Fengfei  ZHAO Chongbo
作者单位:[1]State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; [2]University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; [3]Climate Change Research Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; [4]Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081
基金项目:This work is jointly supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (41125017, 41330423), National Program on Key Basic Research Project (2010CB951904), and Public Science and Technology Research Funds Projects of Ocean (201105019-3).
摘    要:An overview of Chinese contribution to Coupled Model Intercomparison Project-Phase 5 (CMIP5) is presented. The performances of five Chinese Climate/Earth System Models that participated in the CMIP5 pro ject are assessed in the context of climate mean states, seasonal cycle, intraseasonal oscillation, interan-nual variability, interdecadal variability, global monsoon, Asian-Australian monsoon, 20th-century historical climate simulation, climate change pro jection, and climate sensitivity. Both the strengths and weaknesses of the models are evaluated. The models generally show reasonable performances in simulating sea surface tem-perature (SST) mean state, seasonal cycle, spatial patterns of Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) amplitude and tropical cyclone Genesis Potential Index (GPI), global monsoon precipitation pattern, El Ni-no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) related SST anomalies. However, the perfor-mances of the models in simulating the time periods, amplitude, and phase locking of ENSO, PDO time periods, GPI magnitude, MJO propagation, magnitude of SST seasonal cycle, northwestern Pacific mon-soon and North American monsoon domains, as well as the skill of large-scale Asian monsoon precipitation need to be improved. The model performances in simulating the time evolution and spatial pattern of the 20th-century global warming and the future change under representative concentration pathways pro jection are compared to the multimodel ensemble of CMIP5 models. The model discrepancies in terms of climate sensitivity are also discussed.

关 键 词:中国模式  季节内振荡  太平洋十年涛动  气候模拟  气候敏感性  季风降水  模型性能  时间演化
收稿时间:2014-01-01
修稿时间:2014-04-01
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