三江平原湿地保护区生态旅游发展潜力比较研究

构建了湿地生态旅游发展潜力评价指标体系，并运用模糊层次分析法（Fuzzy-AHP），对三江平原9个湿地保护区生态旅游发展潜力进行了比较研究。研究表明：9个自然保护区的生态旅游影响指标社会属性差异比自然属性差异明显；湿地生态旅游发展基础和湿地的重要性、知名度直接影响着湿地生态旅游的需求潜力和供给潜力，湿地的边远区位和严格保护弱化了各自然保护区生态旅游潜力保障力差异，湿地周边城镇发展水平决定了对湿地生态旅游潜力支持力的大小；三江平原湿地保护区的整体生态旅游发展潜力不大，研究对象中只有兴凯湖和三江自然保护区潜力较大，这与该区域的区位条件、产业发展模式等有关。

A Comparison on the Development Potential of Wetland Reserve Ecotourism in the Sanjiang Plain

Based on the wetland ecotourism traits and literature review,constructs the evaluation index system was constructed in the paper.It included 30 indexes which could be divided into four groups:demand potential subsystem,supply potential subsystem,potential protection power and potential support power.With the help of Fuzzy-AHP,the development potential of wetland ecotourism of 9 wetland reserves in Sanjiang Plain was analyzed.The result shows that:the indexes affecting the development potential of wetland ecotourism present that the difference in social indexes are more obvious than in physical indexes;the demand potential and supply potential of wetland ecotourism are influenced by the wetland ecotourism development base and famousness;the differences in potential protection power of wetland reserves are not obvious attributing to the remote location and rigid protection;the supply potential of wetland reserves are correlative with level of economic development and regional urbanization ;the total development potential of wetland reserves ecotourism in Sanjiang Plain is not great.It is revealed that the development potential of wetland ecotourism in Xingkai lake and Sanjing Reserve are strong,which are correlative with their location and industrial patterns.