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Seismic activity in North Aegean region as middle-term precursor of Calabrian earthquakes
Institution:1. Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, University “Kore” of Enna, Italy;2. Dept. of Civil Engr. and Architecture, University of Catania, Italy;1. Departament d′Enginyeria Química, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Av. Països Catalans 26, 43007 Tarragona, Spain;2. Departament d′Enginyeria Química, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, EPSEVG, Av. Víctor Balaguer, 1, 08800 Vilanova i la Geltrú, Spain;1. International Seismological Centre (ISC), Pipers Lane, Thatcham, Berkshire RG19 4NS, United Kingdom;2. University of Colorado at Boulder, CO 80309-0390, USA;3. 862 Richardson Court, Palo Alto, USA;4. Formerly Helmholtz Centre Potsdam GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany;5. Institute of Earth Sciences Jaume Almera, CSIC, 08028 Barcelona, Spain;1. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Etneo – Sezione di Catania, Catania, Italy;2. COMET, Institute of Geophysics and Tectonics, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom;3. Institute of Geosciences, CSIC, UCM, School of Mathematics, Ciudad Universitaria, Madrid, Spain;1. Shom, 13 Rue Du Chatellier, 29200, Brest, France;2. IRSN, BP17, 92260, Fontenay-aux-Roses Cedex, France
Abstract:A comparative analysis of seismicity patterns in the Italian and Balkan regions (both related to the dynamics of the Adriatic Plate) has revealed a noticeable correlation between the time patterns of seismic energy release in the Calabrian Arc (southern Italy) and in the northernmost Aegean region. The systematic occurrence of damaging earthquakes in the Calabrian Arc within a few years after the most intense seismic periods in the North Aegean zone may be useful for middle-term earthquake prediction.
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