| Understanding of the Effect of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclone Intensity:A Review |
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| 作者姓名： | Liguang WU Haikun ZHAO Chao WANG Jian CAO Jia LIANG |
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| 作者单位： | Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Institute of Atmospheric Sciences;Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education;Innovation Center of Ocean and Atmosphere System |
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| 基金项目： | jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41730961,41675051,41675072,and 41922033)。 |
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| 摘 要： | The effect of climate change on tropical cyclone intensity has been an important scientific issue for a few decades.Although theory and modeling suggest the intensification of tropical cyclones in a warming climate,there are uncertainties in the assessed and projected responses of tropical cyclone intensity to climate change.While a few comprehensive reviews have already provided an assessment of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclone activity including tropical cyclone intensity,this review focuses mainly on the understanding of the effect of climate change on basin-wide tropical cyclone intensity,including indices for basin-wide tropical cyclone intensity,historical datasets used for intensity trend detection,environmental control of tropical cyclone intensity,detection and simulation of tropical cyclone intensity change,and some issues on the assessment of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclone intensity.In addition to the uncertainty in the historical datasets,intertwined natural variabilities,the considerable model bias in the projected large-scale environment,and poorly simulated inner-core structures of tropical cyclones,it is suggested that factors controlling the basin-wide intensity can be different from individual tropical cyclones since the assessment of the effect of climate change treats tropical cyclones in a basin as a whole.
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| 关 键 词： | tropical cyclone climate change intensity change |
Understanding of the Effect of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclone Intensity: A Review |
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| Liguang WU,Haikun ZHAO,Chao WANG,Jian CAO,Jia LIANG.Understanding of the Effect of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclone Intensity:A Review[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2022,39(2):205-221. |
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| Authors: | Liguang WU Haikun ZHAO Chao WANG Jian CAO Jia LIANG |
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| Abstract: | The effect of climate change on tropical cyclone intensity has been an important scientific issue for a few decades. Although theory and modeling suggest the intensification of tropical cyclones in a warming climate, there are uncertainties in the assessed and projected responses of tropical cyclone intensity to climate change. While a few comprehensive reviews have already provided an assessment of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclone activity including tropical cyclone intensity, this review focuses mainly on the understanding of the effect of climate change on basin-wide tropical cyclone intensity, including indices for basin-wide tropical cyclone intensity, historical datasets used for intensity trend detection, environmental control of tropical cyclone intensity, detection and simulation of tropical cyclone intensity change, and some issues on the assessment of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclone intensity. In addition to the uncertainty in the historical datasets, intertwined natural variabilities, the considerable model bias in the projected large-scale environment, and poorly simulated inner-core structures of tropical cyclones, it is suggested that factors controlling the basin-wide intensity can be different from individual tropical cyclones since the assessment of the effect of climate change treats tropical cyclones in a basin as a whole. |
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| Keywords: | tropical cyclone climate change intensity change |
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