Calculation ofb value and its application in earthquake prediction |
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Authors: | Hua-Chen Duan Chang-Qing Fan Yue-Min Xu |
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Institution: | 1. Seismological Bureau of Shanghai Municipality, 200062, Shanghai, China
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Abstract: | The improved calculation method ofb value is presented in this paper. The method can enlarge the role of earthquake occurrence frequency inb value calculation and thus increase theb value variation amplitude. In this case, the combination structure variation between earthquake magnitudes and corresponding frequencies could be shown clearly. According to the calculation and analysis for limited mainshocks in the complete seismicity data of selected monitored area with assigned consistent lowest magnitude, the precursor anomaly features, quantitative indexes and the calculation formula of relative subject function ofb value variation have been preliminarily worked out. The prediction in short period (from 1 to 3 months) for damage earthquakes in the monitored area mentioned above can be put forward on the basis of the results of quantitative calculation and analysis. |
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