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Space-time mapping of soil salinity using probabilistic bayesian maximum entropy
Authors:A Douaik  M van Meirvenne  T Tóth  M Serre
Institution:(1) Department of Soil Management and Soil Care, Ghent University, Coupure Links 653, Gent, Belgium;(2) Department of Computer Science and Biometry, Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, Avenue de la victoire, BP 415 Rabat, Morocco;(3) Research Institute for Soil Science and Agricultural Chemistry of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman O. út 15, 35, 1525 II Budapest, Hungary;(4) Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 120B Rosenau Hall, Chapel Hill, 27599–7400, NC, USA
Abstract:The mapping of saline soils is the first task before any reclamation effort. Reclamation is based on the knowledge of soil salinity in space and how it evolves with time. Soil salinity is traditionally determined by soil sampling and laboratory analysis. Recently, it became possible to complement these hard data with soft secondary data made available using field sensors like electrode probes. In this study, we had two data sets. The first includes measurements of field salinity (ECa) at 413 locations and 19 time instants. The second, which is a subset of the first (13 to 20 locations), contains, in addition to ECa, salinity determined in the laboratory (EC2.5). Based on a procedure of cross-validation, we compared the prediction performance in the space-time domain of 3 methods: kriging using either only hard data (HK) or hard and mid interval soft data (HMIK), and Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) using probabilistic soft data. We found that BME was less biased, more accurate and giving estimates, which were better correlated with the observed values than the two kriging techniques. In addition, BME allowed one to delineate with better detail saline from non-saline areas.
Keywords:Bayesian maximum entropy  Electrical conductivity  Geostatistics  Kriging  Soil salinity  Space  time variability
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