| 基于信息扩散理论的热带气旋灾害风险评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 卢峰本,彭俊龙,黄滢.基于信息扩散理论的热带气旋灾害风险评价[J].气象研究与应用,2009,30(1):23-25,39. |
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| 作者姓名： | 卢峰本 彭俊龙 黄滢 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西防城港市气象局,广西,防城港,538001 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用广西沿海地区1991～2003年的热带气旋灾情资料,应用基于信息扩散理论的模糊数学方法,对广西沿海热带气旋灾害风险进行研究,得到不同灾害等级的风险水平,比较表明,概率风险理论估算值与实际灾害情况比较吻合,该方法为热带气旋灾害风险评价提供了一种有效的途径.
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| 关 键 词： | 信息扩散 热带气旋 灾害风险 评价 |
Evaluation on Tropical Cyclone Disaster Risk Based on the Information Diffusion Theory |
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| Lu Feng-ben,Peng Jun-long,Huang Ying.Evaluation on Tropical Cyclone Disaster Risk Based on the Information Diffusion Theory[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2009,30(1):23-25,39. |
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| Authors: | Lu Feng-ben Peng Jun-long Huang Ying |
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| Institution: | Fangchenggang Meteorological Bureau;Fangchenggang;Guangxi;538001 |
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| Abstract: | According to the tropical cyclone disaster data in the coastal area of Guangxi from 1991 to 2003,applied vague math method based on the information diffusion theory,the evaluation on tropical cyclone disaster was conducted to grade the disaster risk levels.The result proves the disaster risk evaluation in theory is very consistent with the actual disaster report. |
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| Keywords: | Information diffusion tropical cyclone disaster risk evaluation |
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