运用孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论探讨大同—阳高—张北地区未来地震活动性 |
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引用本文: | 秦四清,徐锡伟,薛雷. 运用孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论探讨大同—阳高—张北地区未来地震活动性[J]. 工程地质学报, 2010, 18(2): 189 |
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作者姓名: | 秦四清 徐锡伟 薛雷 |
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作者单位: | 1.中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所,中国科学院工程地质力学重点实验室 北京 100029 |
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摘 要: | 基于笔者最近建立的孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论,本文针对大同—阳高—张北地区未来大地震发生的可能性进行了预测分析,结果表明该地区有可能发生6.5级以上的破坏性地震。
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关 键 词: | 大同-阳高-张北地区 地震活动性 锁固段 |
DISCUSSION ON THE FUTURE SEISMICITY IN DATONG-YANGGAO-ZHANGBEI AREA USING THE BRITTLE FAILURE THEORY OF MULTIPLE LOCKED PATCHES ALONG A SEISMOGENIC FAULT |
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Affiliation: | 1.Key Laboratory of Engineering Geomechanics, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing |1000292.Institute of Geology, Chinese Earthquake Adminstration,Beijing |100029 |
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Abstract: | Based on the the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches along a seismogenic fault presented recently by us,the possibility of that the strong earthquake will occur in Datong Yanggao Zhangbei area is analysed. It is shown that a destructive earthquake with a magnitude of more than 65 in this area will possibly occur. |
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