Estimation of seismic hazard with allowance for noncircular isoseismals of arbitrary orientation

A new mathematical model describing the field of macroseismic intensity has been elaborated. It is based on elliptic isoseismals. The orientation of the main axes of elliptic isoseismals depends on the direction of stretching of the main geological structures on the investigated territory.The new model of a macroseismic field was applied to the territory of Eastern Uzbekistan. Some results of macroseismic investigations of the effect of large regional earthquakes were used as initial data.A noncircular model of a macroseismic field was introduced into the integral of the seismic shakability of Riznichenko and, according to the model, a macroseismic shakability map for the territory of Eastern Uzbekistan was computed in isolines of the long-term mean return period of vibrations for the intensity I 8.Paper presented at the 21st General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Sofia, 1988.