| 用T63及日本数值预报产品制作汛期降水预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 程相坤,刘敦训,张洪卫.用T63及日本数值预报产品制作汛期降水预报[J].气象,1997,23(7):39-41. |
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| 作者姓名： | 程相坤 刘敦训 张洪卫 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东省东营市气象局 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省气象局青年气象科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文利用Ｔ６３Ｌ１６和日本数值预报产品，采用相关分析方法提取典型因子场，再由典型因子场选点求取平均场及极值场，用逐步回归法制作黄河三角洲地区汛期降水预报，试用效果较好。
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| 关 键 词： | 数值预报 相关分析 汛期 降水预报 |
The Precipitation Forecast during Flood Season Using T63 Data and the NWP of Japan |
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| Cheng Xiangkun,Liu Dunxun,Zhang Hongwei.The Precipitation Forecast during Flood Season Using T63 Data and the NWP of Japan[J].Meteorological Monthly,1997,23(7):39-41. |
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| Authors: | Cheng Xiangkun Liu Dunxun Zhang Hongwei |
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| Abstract: | The data of T63L16 and NWP of Japan are used to select the canonical factor fields.Based on the correlations analysis,the average and maximum fields are then made by the use of the canonical factor fields.The regression analysis is used to forecast precipitation during flood season in the Yellow River delta.Results show that the regression equations have value in the operational forecast. |
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| Keywords: | numerical weather prediction MOS prediction correlation analysis canonical factor fields |
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