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Design rainfall depth estimation through two regional frequency analysis methods in Hanjiang River Basin, China
Authors:Yue-Ping Xu  Chaofeng Yu  Xujie Zhang  Qingqing Zhang  Xiao Xu
Institution:1. Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
2. Shanghai Water Conservancy Engineering Design & Research Institute, Shanghai, China
Abstract:Hydrological predictions in ungauged basins are of significant importance for water resources management. In hydrological frequency analysis, regional methods are regarded as useful tools in estimating design rainfall/flood for areas with only little data available. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the performance of two regional methods, namely the Hosking’s approach and the cokriging approach, in hydrological frequency analysis. These two methods are employed to estimate 24-h design rainfall depths in Hanjiang River Basin, one of the largest tributaries of Yangtze River, China. Validation is made through comparing the results to those calculated from the provincial handbook approach which uses hundreds of rainfall gauge stations. Also for validation purpose, five hypothetically ungauged sites from the middle basin are chosen. The final results show that compared to the provincial handbook approach, the Hosking’s approach often overestimated the 24-h design rainfall depths while the cokriging approach most of the time underestimated. Overall, the Hosking’ approach produced more accurate results than the cokriging approach.
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