| 西南区域气候变化原因分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 齐冬梅,周长艳,李跃清,陈永仁. 西南区域气候变化原因分析[J]. 高原山地气象研究, 2012, 32(1): 35-42 |
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| 作者姓名： | 齐冬梅 周长艳 李跃清 陈永仁 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国气象局成都高原气象研究所,成都,610072
2. 四川省气象台,成都,610072 |
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| 基金项目： | 成都高原气象研究所基本科研项目(BROP201016);成都高原气象研究所基本科研项目(BROP201115);西南区域气候变化影响评估报告 |
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| 摘 要： | 总结了近年来西南区域气候变化原因分析上的主要进展.从自然原因和人为原因两方面展开分析,在自然原因方面,分析了海温外强迫、主要天气影响系统自身的变化以及太阳活动、冰雪覆盖等因子的影响；在人为原因方面,主要分析了温室气体、大气气溶胶的排放、土地利用的变化、城市化进程以及城市热岛效应等方面的影响.同时指出引起观测到的气候变化的因子十分复杂,相关问题的研究仍存在大量不确定性.
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 西南区域 归因 |
Cause Analysis of Climate Changes in Southwest China |
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| QI Dongmei , Zhou Changyan , LI Yueqing , Chen Yongren. Cause Analysis of Climate Changes in Southwest China[J]. Journal of Sichuan Meteorology, 2012, 32(1): 35-42 |
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| Authors: | QI Dongmei Zhou Changyan LI Yueqing Chen Yongren |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Institute of Plateau Meteorology,CMA,Chengdu,610072; 2 Sichuan Meteorological Observatory,Chengdu,610072) |
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| Abstract: | This paper summarizes the progress of the cause analysis on climate changes in Southwest China in recent years.The cause analysis has been conducted from two aspects: natural and human factors.The natural factors include sea surface temperature,changes in the main weather infection system,solar activities,and changes in snow coverage.The human factors include emission of greenhouse gas and atmospheric aerosol,changes in land utilization,urbanization,and urban heat island effects.This paper also points out that the factors leading to the observed climate changes are complex and some analysis have been based on uncertainties. |
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| Keywords: | climate change Southwest China cause |
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