Estimation of industrial and commercial asset values for hazard risk assessment |
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Authors: | Isabel Seifert Annegret H Thieken Mirjam Merz Dietmar Borst Ute Werner |
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Institution: | (1) Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ, German Research Centre for Geosciences, Section Hydrology, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany;(2) alpS—Centre for Natural Hazard and Risk Management Ltd., Leopold-Franzens-University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria;(3) Institute for Industrial Production, University of Karlsruhe (TH), 76187 Karlsruhe, Germany;(4) Institute for Finance, Banking and Insurance, University of Karlsruhe (TH), 76128 Karlsruhe, Germany |
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Abstract: | For risk analyses not only knowledge about the impact of different types of hazards, but also information about the elements
and values at risk is necessary. This article introduces a methodology for a countrywide estimation of asset values for commercial
and industrial properties using Germany as an example. It consists of a financial appraisal of asset values on the municipal
level and a further disaggregation by means of land use data. Novelties are the distinction of 60 economic activities, the
consideration of production site sizes and the application of a dasymetric mapping technique for a sector-specific estimation
and disaggregation of asset values. A validation with empirical data confirms the feasibility of the calculation. The resulting
maps can be used for loss estimations e.g. in the framework of cost–benefit analyses that aim to evaluate hazard mitigation
measures or for portfolio analyses by banks and insurance companies. The approach can be used for other countries if the necessary
data is available (mainly in industrialized countries). In any case, it reveals the critical points when estimating commercial
and industrial asset values. |
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