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Estimation of industrial and commercial asset values for hazard risk assessment
Authors:Isabel Seifert  Annegret H Thieken  Mirjam Merz  Dietmar Borst  Ute Werner
Institution:(1) Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ, German Research Centre for Geosciences, Section Hydrology, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany;(2) alpS—Centre for Natural Hazard and Risk Management Ltd., Leopold-Franzens-University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria;(3) Institute for Industrial Production, University of Karlsruhe (TH), 76187 Karlsruhe, Germany;(4) Institute for Finance, Banking and Insurance, University of Karlsruhe (TH), 76128 Karlsruhe, Germany
Abstract:For risk analyses not only knowledge about the impact of different types of hazards, but also information about the elements and values at risk is necessary. This article introduces a methodology for a countrywide estimation of asset values for commercial and industrial properties using Germany as an example. It consists of a financial appraisal of asset values on the municipal level and a further disaggregation by means of land use data. Novelties are the distinction of 60 economic activities, the consideration of production site sizes and the application of a dasymetric mapping technique for a sector-specific estimation and disaggregation of asset values. A validation with empirical data confirms the feasibility of the calculation. The resulting maps can be used for loss estimations e.g. in the framework of cost–benefit analyses that aim to evaluate hazard mitigation measures or for portfolio analyses by banks and insurance companies. The approach can be used for other countries if the necessary data is available (mainly in industrialized countries). In any case, it reveals the critical points when estimating commercial and industrial asset values.
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