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A Review on the Research Progress in Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) in the World
Authors:Bi Jinmeng and Jiang Changsheng
Abstract:In this paper,the research progress of the Operational Earthquake Forecasting( OEF) is introduced from the major areas of concern,the concept of probability gain,hybrid model development,and the application to earthquake disaster reduction. Due to the development of OEF based on the global "Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability( CSEP) " plan,it provides a significant technical foundation for earthquake forecast modeling and a practical foundation for solving the actual problems in earthquake preparedness and disaster mitigation. Therefore, related research and technical ideas provide inspirational and referential significance for earthquake forecasting/prediction.
Keywords:Operational earthquake forecasting  Probability gain  Hybrid model  Emergency evacuation  Seismic fortification
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