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Climate change in mountain regions: some possible consequences in the Moroccan High Atlas
Institution:1. School of Geography and Geosciences, University of St. Andrews, KY16 9ST, UK;2. AFRAS, University of Sussex, BQH1 9N, UK;1. Royal Roads University, British Columbia, Canada;2. Simon Fraser University, British Columbia, Canada;1. INRA, UMR1114 EMMAH, Domaine St. Paul, Site Agroparc, 84914 Avignon cedex 9, France;2. CIRAD, UMR TETIS, Maison de la Télédétection, 500 rue Jean-François Breton, TA C-91/MTD, F-34398 Montpellier Cedex 5, France;3. AgroParisTech, UMR TETIS, Maison de la Télédétection, 500 rue Jean-François Breton, F-34000 Montpellier, France;1. Department of Natural Sciences and Environmental Health, University of South-Eastern Norway, N-3800, Bø i Telemark, Norway;2. Department of Earth Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, NL-1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;3. Earth and Life Institute, Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research, Université catholique de Louvain, B-1348, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;4. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), CEA/CNRS-INSU/UVSQ, F-91191, Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France;5. Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki, P.O.BOX 64, FI-00014, Helsinki, Finland;1. University of Guelph, Department of Geography, Environment and Geomatics, 50 Stone Rd. East, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada;2. University of Alberta, Department of Renewable Resources, 116 Street and 85 Avenue, Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2R3, Canada;3. University of Guelph, Department of Geography, Environment and Geomatics, 50 Stone Rd. East, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada;4. Conservation through Reconciliation Partnership, Department of Geography, Environment and Geomatics, 50 Stone Rd. East, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada
Abstract:Mountain areas are particularly sensitive to climate change. Seasonal and annual variations in climate already strongly influence agro-ecosystems, and although there is much speculation about the precise effects in such areas, any response of the communities will emerge from existing coping practices. Using examples from the High Atlas in Morocco, the paper explores the implications for livestock management, arboriculture and tourism. Although the local agro-ecosystem may prove resilient initially, the need to change tenure conditions and other rules of management may lead to conflict which exceeds the capacity of local institutions to resolve. At the same time national considerations may also draw the state more fully into conflict with mountain communities over resource use. However, the paper argues that these issues are just as likely to emerge from the evolution of the national economy as from climate change.
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