基于排队论的水下预置反舰导弹部署优化

随着武器装备的逐渐智能化和信息化，武器系统的水下预置已经成为了未来水下无人作战体系中的重要研究内容之一。以封锁作战为背景，用水下预置反舰导弹构建多层防御阵线封锁战略航道，对敌实施打击。利用排队论相关理论研究了水下预置反舰导弹对来袭舰船编队总的命中概率并建立了其线形部署优化模型。通过仿真算例验证了模型的有效性，分析了影响优化结果的其他因素，结果表明：该模型能够准确找出在总命中概率最大时最佳的部署层数和各层部署数量，可为水下预置反舰导弹的部署决策提供一定科学参考。

Deployment Optimization of Underwater Preset Anti-Ship Missiles Based on Queuing Theory

With the gradual intelligence and informatization of weapons and equipment, the underwater presettechnology of weapon systems has become one of the important research contents in the future underwater unmannedcombat system. Taking the blockade operation as background, this article builds a multi-layer defensive front withunderwater preset anti-ship missiles to block off the strategic channel to strike the enemy. In this paper, using therelated theories of queuing theory, the total hit probability of underwater preset anti-ship missiles against theincoming ship formation is studied and its linear deployment optimization model is established. The effectiveness ofthe model is verified by simulation examples, and other factors affecting the optimization results are analyzed. The results show that the model can accurately find the optimal number of deployment layers and the number ofdeployments in each layer when the total hit probability is the highest. It can provide a certain scientific reference forthe deployment decision of the next underwater preset anti-ship missiles.