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On a novel approach to forecast sparse rare events: applications to Parkfield earthquake prediction
Authors:Ho  Chih-Hsiang  Bhaduri   Moinak
Affiliation:1. International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management (ICHARM) Under the Auspices of UNESCO, Public Works Research Institute (PWRI), 1-6 Minamihara, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8516, Japan
2. Center for Advanced Engineering Structural Assessment and Research (CAESAR), Public Works Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
3. Nepal Development Research Institute, Lalitpur, Kathmandu, Nepal
4. National Institute of Land and Infrastructure Management, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
5. Welthungerhilfe - Nepal, P.O. Box: 8130, Gairidhara Marg-288, Kathmandu, Nepal
6. Water Resources Research Center, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
Abstract:Natural Hazards - Rare events are plentiful in nature and most of them have devastating consequences on human lives and property. Modeling such events is intrinsically challenging due to their very...
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