“软−硬”关系框架下城市型目的地出入境旅游响应路径——基于1997―2019年中国香港特区数据的组态分析

选取1997―2019年中国香港特区数据，使用定性比较分析（QCA）方法对出入境旅游流产生路径的前因条件以及结果条件进行分析，研究结果表明：① 在路径数量上，虽持续简化，但是仍然具有复杂性；② 在核心条件中，所有的单因素均不构成影响的核心条件，中国香港出入境旅游流路径受到多因素组合作用；③ 在前因条件中，“软?硬”关系影响存在差异，硬实力关系对高出入境旅游流起主导作用，软实力关系则对非高出入境旅游流作用较大；④ 在路径国家（地区）中，高和非高出入境旅游流存在显著地区差异；⑤ 在时间层面上，阶段1与阶段2、阶段3路径差异较大，表明时间节点的分割事件对中国香港出入境旅游的影响不同。

Response Path of Inbound and Outbound Tourism of Urban Destinations Under Inter-regional Relationship Influence Framework: Configuration Analysis Based on the Data of Hong Kong,China, from 1997 to 2019

This article selects data from Hong Kong, China during the period of 1997-2019. The antecedent and consequential conditions are analyzed by using the qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) to determine the path of inbound and outbound tourism flow. The research results are as follow: 1) In terms of the number of paths, although it is continuously simplified, it is still complex; 2) In terms of core conditions, all single factors do not constitute core conditions of influence, and the pathways of Hong Kong’s inbound and outbound tourism flows are affected by a combination of multiple factors; 3) In terms of antecedent conditions, there are differences in the impact of IRRIF, with the hard power relationship playing a dominant role in high inbound and outbound tourism flows and the soft power relationship playing a greater role in non-high inbound and outbound tourism flows; 4) Among the path countries/regions, there are significant regional differences between high and non-high inbound and outbound tourism flows; 5) At the temporal level, the paths of stage 1 are quite different from those of stage 2 and stage 3, indicating that the segmentation events of time nodes have different impact on inbound and outbound tourism in Hong Kong, China.