Temporal variability in SO2 exposures at Hawai’i Volcanoes National Park,USA

Sulfur dioxide measured at the Visitor’s Center of Hawai’i Volcanoes National Park, USA exhibits seasonal and diurnal patterns and is sensitive to rainfall, but the relationship between wind direction and SO₂ is too inconsistent to support deterministic predictions of hourly SO₂ based on hourly wind direction. Although SO₂ at the Visitor Center has usually been below regulatory levels, high SO₂ levels and adverse health effects remain a concern. This investigation identified patterns in hourly SO₂ based on wind direction, time of day, month, and rainfall occurrence using 4 years of hourly data. Empirical probabilities were investigated using a Bayesian approach. Winds from the volcanic vents were rare, but when they did occur SO₂ was elevated about half of the time. Conversely, half of the hours with elevated SO₂ occurred when volcanic vents were not directly upwind. Episodes of elevated SO₂ tended to occur during the months of November–March and between 8:00 a.m. and 5:00 p.m. Rainfall was associated with a marked reduction in SO₂ (29–81% depending on wind direction). Individuals that wish to avoid exposure to volcanic fumes can take these patterns into account.