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省域经济增长与电力消费的局域空间计量经济分析
引用本文:吴玉鸣,李建霞.省域经济增长与电力消费的局域空间计量经济分析[J].地理科学,2009,29(1).
作者姓名:吴玉鸣  李建霞
作者单位:广西师范大学经济管理学院西南城市与区域发展研究中心,广西,桂林,541004
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重大国际(地区)合作研究项目 
摘    要:中国各个地区经济发展对电力消费需求量大且存在地域差异,不同区域间的电力需求与经济增长之间的关系十分复杂,并非能由常系数的普通最小二乘回归分析所解释.采用电力消费模型,利用局域空间计量经济学模型方法--空间变系数的地理加权回归模型,对中国省域电力消费与经济增长之间的关系进行了局域空间计量经济分析.结果发现,中国大陆30个省域的电力消费和经济增长之间表现为一种非均衡的联动关系和局域性特征,制定差异化的区域电力消费调控政策是非常必要的.

关 键 词:电力消费  经济增长  地理加权回归模型  局域空间计量经济分析

A Local Spatial Econometric Study on Relationship between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth of Chinese Provinces
WU Yu-ming,LI Jian-xia.A Local Spatial Econometric Study on Relationship between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth of Chinese Provinces[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2009,29(1).
Authors:WU Yu-ming  LI Jian-xia
Institution:School of Economics & Management;Southwest Institute for Urban & Regional Development;Guangxi Normal University;Guilin;Guangxi 541004
Abstract:There is regional difference either in large electricity consumption demand or in regional economic development.The relationship between electricity demand and economic development is much complicated,and can not be explained by ordinary least squares(OLS) estimation with constant coefficients.Using geographical weighed regression(GWR) model of spatial varying-coefficient regression models(SVCRM) of spatial econometrics,this paper analyses the locally relationship between electricity consumption and economi...
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