一类计算性系统误差消除与斜压原始方程天气气候模式改进

斜压原始方程半隐式全能量守恒格式的构造问题长期没有解决。本研究在成功地构造实现其全能量完全守恒的半隐式方案基础上，进行了此守恒方案与欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF）的σ－坐标原始方程全球谱模式半隐式方案间的实际资料对比实验。实验表明，850hPa平均预报高度场RMS误差在积分一周以后得到明显改进，到第30天其预报误差降低达到了50％，进一步的对比实验表明，对流层中部和下部的月预报平均高度场RMS误差也显降低，而且一些明显的系统性误差也得到大幅度改进。更加详细的分析显示，这些收益的很大一部分是从超长波成分的改进中得到的。这说明，通过构造守恒性时间差分方案消除了响应的计算性系统误差源汇，进而能够使模式气候漂移得到显改进，而这种误差源汇存在于传统的，现仍被普遍采用的斜压原始方程天气气候模式中。

Elimination of computational systematic errors and improvements of weather and climate system models in relation to baroclinic primitive equations

The design of a total energy conserving semi-implicit scheme for the multiple-level baroclinic primitive equation has remained an unsolved problem for a long time. In this work, however, we follow an energy perfect conserving semi-implicit scheme of a European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) type sigma-coordinate primitive equation which has recently successfully formulated. Some real-data contrast tests between the model of the new conserving scheme and that of the ECMWF-type of global spectral semi-implicit scheme show that the RMS error of the averaged forecast Height at 850 hPa can be clearly improved after the first integral week. The reduction also reaches 50 percent by the 30th day.Further contrast tests demonstrate that the RMS error of the monthly mean height in the middle and lower troposphere also be largely reduced, and some well-known systematical defects can be greatly improved.More detailed analysis reveals that part of the positive contributions comes from improvements of the extra-long wave components. This indicates that a remarkable improvement of the model climate drift level can be achieved by the actual realizing of a conserving time-difference scheme, which thereby eliminates a corresponding computational systematic error source / sink found in the currently-used traditional type of weather and climate system models in relation to the baroclinic primitive equations.