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Geostatistical simulation of spatial variability of convective storms in Mexico City Valley
Authors:Javier Méndez-Venegas  Graciela S Herrera  Martín A Díaz-Viera  Arturo Valdés-Manzanilla
Institution:Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, Delegación Coyoacán, 04510, México D.F., México;Programa de Recuperación de Yacimientos, Instituto Mexicano del Petróleo, Del. Gustavo A. Madero;División Académica de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Juárez Autónoma de Tabasco, Villahermosa, Tabasco
Abstract:Precipitation is one of the main components of the hydrological cycle and knowledge of its spatial distribution is fundamental for the prediction of other closely related environmental variables, for example, runoff, flooding and aquifer recharge. Most of the precipitation in Mexico City is due to convective storms characterized by a high spatial variability, implying that modeling its behavior is very complex. In this work stochastic simulation techniques with a geostatistical approach were applied to model the spatial variability of the rainfall of three convective storms. The analysis of the results shows that using the proposed methodology spatial distributions of rain are obtained that reproduce the statistical characteristics present in the available information.
Keywords:geoestadística  variabilidad espacial de la precipitación  simulación secuencial Gaussiana  cosimulación  tormentas convectivas  radar meteorológico  geostatistics  rainfall spatial variability  sequential Gaussian simulation  cosimulation  convective storms  meteorological radar
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