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Rockfall in the Port Hills of Christchurch: Seismic and non‐seismic fatality risk on roads
Authors:Stefan Unterrader  Peter Almond  Sven Fuchs
Institution:1. Institute of Mountain Risk Engineering, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria;2. Lincoln University, Private Bag 85084, Lincoln, New Zealand
Abstract:Numerous rockfalls released during the 2010–2011 Canterbury earthquake sequence affected vital road sections for local commuters. We quantified rockfall fatality risk on two main routes by adapting a risk approach for roads originally developed for snow avalanche risk. We present results of the collective and individual fatality risks for traffic flow and waiting traffic. Waiting traffic scenarios particularly address the critical spatial‐temporal dynamics of risk, which should be acknowledged in operational risk management. Comparing our results with other risks commonly experienced in New Zealand indicates that local rockfall risk is close to tolerability thresholds and likely exceeds acceptable risk.
Keywords:fatalities  natural hazard  quantitative risk analysis  road infrastructure  rockfall
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