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Intensified Eastward and Northward Propagation of Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation over the Equatorial Indian Ocean in a Global Warming Scenario
Authors:, YANG Jing , BAO Qing , WANG Xiaocong
Affiliation:1. State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology,Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875
2. State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
Abstract:Northward propagation in summer and eastward propagation in winter are two distinguished features of tropical intraseasonal oscillation (TISO) over the equatorial Indian Ocean. According to numerical modeling results, under a global warming scenario, both propagations were intensified. The enhanced northward propagation in summer can be attributed to the enhanced atmosphere-ocean interaction and the strengthened mean southerly wind; and the intensified eastward propagation in winter is associated with the enhanced convection-wind coupling process and the strengthened equatorial Kevin wave. Future changes of TISO propagations need to be explored in more climate models.
Keywords:northward propagation   eastward propagation   tropicalintraseasonal oscillation   global warming
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