数值预报产品与天气学结合的体会

文章主要阐述了如何将数值预报产品与天气学预报经验有机的结合起来。天气学着重研究天气系统进入本地区前各方面的动态变化,从中找出它的变化规律,再利用这些规律预测未来如何演变。数值预报从初始场开始,计算它的运动轨迹,着重研究大气环流和天气形势未来变化。虽然它们的研究起点、研究重点不同,但方向一致。把二者有机结合起来,可以形成从过去、现在到未来的一个完整的链条,从而有力的促进了预报质量的提高。

The Experience of Combining Numerical Prediction Products with Synoptic Meteorology

This paper described the necessity and feasibility of organically combining the numerical prediction products with weather forecasting experience.The weather experience focused on the dynamic changes of the various aspects before the weather system entering the region,and found its changing rules,then used these rules to predict the future evolution.Numerical prediction started to calculate its trajectory from the initial field,focused on atmospheric circulation and the future changes of weather situation.A...