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Intermittent Phase Transitions in a Slider-block Model as a Mechanism for Earthquakes
Authors:V B Ryabov  K Ito
Institution:Complex Systems Department, Future University Hakodate, 116-2 Kameda Nakano-cho, 041-8655 Hakodate city, Hokkaido, Japan. E-mail: riabov@fun.ac.jp, JP
Abstract:— The aperiodic behavior of a two-dimensional stick-slip slider-block model of earthquakes is the subject of this study. The phenomenon of temporal phase transitions between creep and stick-slip motions is thoroughly analyzed and attributed to type-I intermittency. Asymmetry in the elastic forces is shown to play a key role in the emergence of complex behavior in the model. The unpredictability of chaotic bursts in the intermittent regime indicates potential difficulties for earthquake forecasting.
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