Comparison of long–term forecasting of June–August rainfall over changjiang–huaihe valley |
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Authors: | Jin Long Luo Ying Lin Zhenshan |
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Institution: | Jiangsu Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210009,Jiangsu Institute of Applied Climatology, Nanjing 210009,Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093 |
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Abstract: | In terms of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) established is a long-term prediction model for June-August flood / drought in the Changjiang-Huaihe Basins and a regression forecasting expression is formulated with the aid of the same factors and sample size for comparison. Results show that the ANN is superior in predictions and fittings due to its higher self-adaptive learning recognition and nonlinear mapping especially in the years of severe flood and drought. This shows great promise in using ANN in the research of flood / drought prediction on a long-range basis |
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Keywords: | Artificial neural network (ANN) stepwise regression Long-term prediction |
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