| 海温与鲁西南夏季降水分析及在长期预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔凡中,刘厚赞.海温与鲁西南夏季降水分析及在长期预报中的应用[J].海洋预报,1995,12(1):42-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔凡中 刘厚赞 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东菏泽气象台，山东省气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文对北太平洋海温与鲁西南夏季降水关系进行相关分析建立１２个相关场，得出赤道海域，黑潮海域和北太平洋海域三大主要优势相关区。选出３５个预报因子进行主成份分析，应用前１０个合成主成份变量建立预报方程，收到了较好的预报效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 海温 降水 长期预报 |
CORRELATION OF SST REGIME WITH SW SHANDONG SUMMER RAINFALL AND IT'S APPLICATION TO LONG-RANG FORECASTING |
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| Kong Fanzhong,Liu Juan.CORRELATION OF SST REGIME WITH SW SHANDONG SUMMER RAINFALL AND IT''''S APPLICATION TO LONG-RANG FORECASTING[J].Marine Forecasts,1995,12(1):42-48. |
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| Authors: | Kong Fanzhong Liu Juan |
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| Institution: | Kong Fanzhong;Liu Juan(Heze Meteorological Station)Liu Houzhan (Shandong Weather Center) |
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| Abstract: | Based on correlation analysis of North Pacific SST(Sea Surface Temperature) with SW Shandong summer precipitation,twelve correlation patterns are established,indicating that predominant ocrrelation sea area are cocated in the equatoial rigion,Kuroshio and North Pacific.Principal component analysis is performed among 35 predictors, first ten principal components are used to construct a prognostic epuation.The final results are satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | SST Rainfall Principal component analysis |
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