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Climate change,scenarios and marine biodiversity conservation
Institution:1. Institute of Marine and Antarctic Studies, Marine & Antarctic Futures Centre (MAFC), University of Tasmania, Private Bag 129, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia;2. School of Geography & Environmental Studies, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 78, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia;3. School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, University of Queensland, Level 4, Building 35, University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia;1. Department of General Surgery (Section of Transplantation), Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC;2. Department of Pathology, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC;3. Department of Internal Medicine (Section of Nephrology), Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC;1. Epicentre, Geneva 1202, Switzerland;2. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
Abstract:This paper explores the utility of qualitative scenario approaches to examine the potential impacts of climate change on marine biodiversity conservation on the east coast of Australia. This region is large and diverse, with considerable variation in marine biodiversity and, concomitantly, considerable diversity in the likely impacts from climate change. The results reinforce a number of key points. Engaging with stakeholders in scenario planning provides not only a focus to discuss the future in a disciplined way, but also provides ongoing reference points for contemporary decision making and planning. The paper illustrates how qualitative scenario planning provides opportunities to address the challenges of marine biodiversity conservation in a changing environment.
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