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Evidence and Implications of Recent Climate Change in Northern Alaska and Other Arctic Regions
Authors:Larry D Hinzman  Neil D Bettez  W Robert Bolton  F Stuart Chapin  Mark B Dyurgerov  Chris L Fastie  Brad Griffith  Robert D Hollister  Allen Hope  Henry P Huntington  Anne M Jensen  Gensuo J Jia  Torre Jorgenson  Douglas L Kane  David R Klein  Gary Kofinas  Amanda H Lynch  Andrea H Lloyd  A David McGuire  Frederick E Nelson  Walter C Oechel  Thomas E Osterkamp  Charles H Racine  Vladimir E Romanovsky  Robert S Stone  Douglas A Stow  Matthew Sturm  Craig E Tweedie  George L Vourlitis  Marilyn D Walker  Donald A Walker  Patrick J Webber  Jeffrey M Welker  Kevin S Winker  Kenji Yoshikawa
Institution:1. University of Alaska Fairbanks, Water and Environmental Research Center, P.O. Box 755860, 437 Duckering Building, Fairbanks, Alaska, 99775-5860
2. Marine Biological Laboratory, U.S.A.
3. University of Colorado, U.S.A.
4. Middlebury College, U.S.A.
12. US Geological Survey, U.S.A.
5. Michigan State University, U.S.A.
6. San Diego State University, U.S.A.
7. Huntington Consulting, U.S.A.
8. Ukpea?vik I?upiat Corporation, U.S.A.
9. Colorado State University, U.S.A.
10. Alaska Biological Research, U.S.A.
11. Monash University, Australia
13. University of Delaware, U.S.A.
14. Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, U.S.A.
15. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.A.
16. California State University, San Marcos, U.S.A.
17. US Forest Service, U.S.A.
18. University of Alaska Anchorage, U.S.A.
Abstract:The Arctic climate is changing. Permafrost is warming, hydrological processes are changing and biological and social systems are also evolving in response to these changing conditions. Knowing how the structure and function of arctic terrestrial ecosystems are responding to recent and persistent climate change is paramount to understanding the future state of the Earth system and how humans will need to adapt. Our holistic review presents a broad array of evidence that illustrates convincingly; the Arctic is undergoing a system-wide response to an altered climatic state. New extreme and seasonal surface climatic conditions are being experienced, a range of biophysical states and processes influenced by the threshold and phase change of freezing point are being altered, hydrological and biogeochemical cycles are shifting, and more regularly human sub-systems are being affected. Importantly, the patterns, magnitude and mechanisms of change have sometimes been unpredictable or difficult to isolate due to compounding factors. In almost every discipline represented, we show how the biocomplexity of the Arctic system has highlighted and challenged a paucity of integrated scientific knowledge, the lack of sustained observational and experimental time series, and the technical and logistic constraints of researching the Arctic environment. This study supports ongoing efforts to strengthen the interdisciplinarity of arctic system science and improve the coupling of large scale experimental manipulation with sustained time series observations by incorporating and integrating novel technologies, remote sensing and modeling.
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