| 农业气象灾害风险评价模型及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 杜鹏,李世奎.农业气象灾害风险评价模型及应用[J].气象学报,1997,55(1):95-102. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杜鹏 李世奎 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国气象科学研究院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据灾害风险分析原理，建立了一个经三层逐级放大的农业气象灾害风险分析实用模型，并以珠江三角洲荔枝生产为例分析计算了主要农业气象灾害以及风险体系的风险度，其结果对农业气象灾害风险管理与决策及灾害防御有一定的参考价值
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| 关 键 词： | 农业气象灾害，风险评价模型，荔枝 |
| 收稿时间： | 1995/8/10 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1995/12/25 0:00:00 |
AN AGRO-METEOROLOGICAL DISASTER RISK ANALYSIS MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION |
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| Du Peng and Li Shikui.AN AGRO-METEOROLOGICAL DISASTER RISK ANALYSIS MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,1997,55(1):95-102. |
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| Authors: | Du Peng and Li Shikui |
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| Institution: | Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 100081;Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 100081 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the principle of disaster risk analysis, a practical model of agro meteorological disaster risk analysis is established from gradual three level enlargement of a basic concept model. Using this model, the risk degrees of main agro meteorological disaster and risk system of litchi in the Zhujiang Delta are analyzed and calculated.The results show important to agro meteorological disaster risk decision and risk management. |
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| Keywords: | Agro meteorological disaster Risk analysis model Litchi |
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