| 地方暴雨增强数值预报模式对江苏地区降水预报能力的检验及分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 沈树勤.地方暴雨增强数值预报模式对江苏地区降水预报能力的检验及分析[J].高原气象,1996,15(1):84-89. |
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| 作者姓名： | 沈树勤 |
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| 作者单位： | Meteorological observatory of Jiangsu Province，Nanjing Jiangsu 210008 |
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| 摘 要： | 在１９９４年６月中旬－７月中旬期间，江苏省气象台利用地方暴雨增强数值预报模式和实时资料进行了２４ｈ和４８ｈ降水预报业务试验，并对降水预报产品进行了分析和检验，给出了降水预报和实际降水量的对比结果，同时还给出了它们的客观评价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 暴雨 数值预报 Ts评分 降水预报 预报能力 江苏 |
FORECAST TEST AND ANALYSIS OF ENHANCED NUMERICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM OF CLOCAL HEAVY RAIN |
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| Shen Shuqin.FORECAST TEST AND ANALYSIS OF ENHANCED NUMERICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM OF CLOCAL HEAVY RAIN[J].Plateau Meteorology,1996,15(1):84-89. |
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| Authors: | Shen Shuqin |
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| Abstract: | Using an enhanced numerical forecasting model of local heavyrain and real data,the perational precipitation forecasting tests for 24,48h have been done in Meteorological Observatory of Jiangsu Province during the period of June 15 to July 16,1994. The forecasting results show that the model performance is quite well, the main precipitation processes in the poor Mei-yu year for past 60 years have basically been forecasted by the model. Their forecast results have heen analysed. |
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| Keywords: | Local heavy rain Numerical forecast Ts score |
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