| 克孜尔水库大坝及其建筑物的震害预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 唐丽华,尹力峰,赵纯青,吴晓莉.克孜尔水库大坝及其建筑物的震害预测[J].地震研究,2001,24(4):363-369. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 唐丽华 尹力峰 赵纯青 吴晓莉 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 新疆防御自然灾害研究所, |
| |
| 摘 要： | 采用帆叶斯模型和地震危害性分析两种概率方法综合预测克孜尔水库大坝在不同超越概率下的震害等级。采用抗震强度为主因子的二次判别模式法对库区指挥系统－办公楼进行震害预测。
|
| 关 键 词： | 贝叶斯模型 地震危害性 二次判别模式 震害预测 新疆 克孜尔水库 大坝 |
Forecast of Seismic Hazards for the Dam of Kezier Reservoir and its Buildings |
| |
| Tang Lihua,Yin Lifeng,Zhao Chunqing,Wu Xiaoli.Forecast of Seismic Hazards for the Dam of Kezier Reservoir and its Buildings[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2001,24(4):363-369. |
| |
| Authors: | Tang Lihua Yin Lifeng Zhao Chunqing Wu Xiaoli |
| |
| Abstract: | Applying two probabilistic methods of Bayes's models and seismic hazard analysis,we give comprehensive prediction of the rate of seismic hazard of Kezier reservoir's dam at different levels of exceeding probabilities.According to the method of quadratic discriminance mode taking aseismic intensity as main factor,the seismic hazard of the office building,which is the command center in the region of the reservoir,is predicted. |
| |
| Keywords: | Bayes's model seismic risk secondary judgement mode seismic hazard forecast Xinjiang |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
