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对1989年大同-阳高地震序列两次强余震发震时间的灰色预测
引用本文:平建军,张青荣. 对1989年大同-阳高地震序列两次强余震发震时间的灰色预测[J]. 山西地震, 1994, 0(1)
作者姓名:平建军  张青荣
作者单位:河北省地震局
摘    要:应用灰色系统理论对1989年大同-阳高6.1级地震序列两次强余震(系指M_L≥4.7)的发震时间进行了尝试性预测,其结果与事实比较吻合,表明该方法在震后短时间内,用仅有的部分序列资料来估计其发展趋势,具有一定的实际意义。

关 键 词:大同-阳高,强余震,灰色预测

Gtey Forecasting to Occurrence Time of two strong Aftershocks of the 1989 Datong-Yanggao Earthquake Sequence With Magnitude 6.1
Ping JiIlnjun,Zhang Qingrong. Gtey Forecasting to Occurrence Time of two strong Aftershocks of the 1989 Datong-Yanggao Earthquake Sequence With Magnitude 6.1[J]. Earthquake Research in Shanxi, 1994, 0(1)
Authors:Ping JiIlnjun  Zhang Qingrong
Affiliation:Seislnological Bureau of Hebei Province
Abstract:The Grey system theory are used in this paper for an attempt to forecast occurrence time of two strong aftershocks of the 1989 Datong-Yanggao earthquake sequence withmagnitude 6.1.The forecast results cor-resporid with the real occurrer1ce time,It shows that the method,at the moment after main shock,has practi-cal significance for a forecasting its trend using the limited sequence dsta.
Keywords:Datong-Yanggao strong aftershock grey forecast
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