| 加卸载响应比理论在华南地区中强震的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘特培,秦乃岗,郭贵安. 加卸载响应比理论在华南地区中强震的应用[J]. 地震, 2003, 23(1): 90-94 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘特培 秦乃岗 郭贵安 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东省地震局, 广东广州 510070 |
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| 摘 要： | 用加卸载响应比理论对华南地区12例中强以上地震进行研究, 结果表明有8例在震前响应比值有明显的高值( Y≥ 2. 0)异常显示, 通过对响应比值随时间变化特征的分析表明, 响应比对5级左右地震有较好的中短期预测效果, 因此响应比理论可作为华南地区地震预测方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 响应比 地震预报 华南地区 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3274(2003)01-0090-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2002-03-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-03-06 |
Application of the load-unload response ratio theory to predicting the moderate-strong earthquakes in the South China area |
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| LIU Te-pei,QIN Nai-gang,GUO Gui-an. Application of the load-unload response ratio theory to predicting the moderate-strong earthquakes in the South China area[J]. China Earthguake Engineering Journal, 2003, 23(1): 90-94 |
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| Authors: | LIU Te-pei QIN Nai-gang GUO Gui-an |
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| Affiliation: | Seismological Bureau of Guangdong Province, Guang zhou 510070, China |
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| Abstract: | The variation characteristic of the load-unload responseratio with time before 12MS≥ 4. 2 earthquakes distributing in the South China area are studied by using the loadunload response ratio theory. There sult shows that before 8 of 12 earthquake case, obvious anomalous response ratio appeared high-value changes. There are 5-17 months from the moment of the maximum value to earthquake occurrence, we consider that the loadunload response ratio is a useful method to estimate the earthquake occurrence in the South China area. |
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| Keywords: | Response ration Earthquake prediction South China area |
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