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二维能量平衡模式对若干气候问题的研究
作者姓名:LI Yaokun  CHAO Jiping
作者单位:北京师范大学全球变化与地球系统科学研究院, 北京, 100875;国家海洋环境预报中心, 北京, 100081
基金项目:Supported by National Key Basic Research Program (2014CB953903) and Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities (No. 2013YB45).
摘    要:Based on a two-dimensional energy balance model, the studies on some climatic issues such as the re- lationship between ice cap latitude and solar constant, desertifieation, and the warming effect of carbon dioxide, have been reviewed and discussed. The phenomenon that a fixed solar constant might correspond to different equilibrium ice cap latitudes is determined by the continuity of albedo distribution. The disconti- nuity in albedo distribution increases the number of equilibrium ice cap latitudes. Desert would expand both northward and southward when desert surface albedo is increasing. This would deteriorate the ecological environment in border regions, and then threaten the existence of local inhabitants. Melting of the polar ice would not be accelerated, with increasing carbon dioxide concentration. The ice cap latitude would move northward slowly, with some “hiatus” periods, under the slowly increasing global average surface tempera- ture. According to the current research, future development of the two-dimensional energy balance model and possible progress are also forecasted.

关 键 词:能量平衡模型  气候问题  二维  能量平衡模式  二氧化碳浓度  地表反照率  纬度地区  极地冰盖
收稿时间:2014/1/23 0:00:00
修稿时间:7/8/2014 12:00:00 AM

Two-Dimensional Energy Balance Model and Its Application to Some Climatic Issues
LI Yaokun,CHAO Jiping.Two-Dimensional Energy Balance Model and Its Application to Some Climatic Issues[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2014,28(5):747-761.
Authors:LI Yaokun and CHAO Jiping
Institution:1. College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875
2. National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center,Beijing,100081
Abstract:Based on a two-dimensional energy balance model, the studies on some climatic issues such as the relationship between ice cap latitude and solar constant, desertification, and the warming effect of carbon dioxide, have been reviewed and discussed. The phenomenon that a fixed solar constant might correspond to different equilibrium ice cap latitudes is determined by the continuity of albedo distribution. The discontinuity in albedo distribution increases the number of equilibrium ice cap latitudes. Desert would expand both northward and southward when desert surface albedo is increasing. This would deteriorate the ecological environment in border regions, and then threaten the existence of local inhabitants. Melting of the polar ice would not be accelerated, with increasing carbon dioxide concentration. The ice cap latitude would move northward slowly, with some \hiatus" periods, under the slowly increasing global average surface temperature. According to the current research, future development of the two-dimensional energy balance model and possible progress are also forecasted.
Keywords:two-dimensional energy balance model  multiple equilibria  ice cap latitude  desertification  warming effect of carbon dioxide
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