| 最佳数值预报模式选取与订正系统设计——温度集成预报系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡志新. 最佳数值预报模式选取与订正系统设计——温度集成预报系统[J]. 山西气象, 2011, 0(3): 16-18,22 |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡志新 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西省气象信息中心,山西太原030006 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文依据国家指导预报产品，山西省MOS预报以及MM5数值预报产品，对山西省的温度预报进行集成，通过3种客观预报方法的前期准确率对比，建立数学模型，从而产生一种新的客观预报方法。系统对3种数值预报产品进行了集成，建立了一个统一的预报指导产品分析、对比平台，为省台预报员提供一种客观的温度预报参考手段。
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| 关 键 词： | 温度 集成预报 偏差订正方法 |
Selecting the Best Numerical Prediction Model and Designing the Revise System - Temperature Integrated Forecasting System |
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| Hu Zhixin. Selecting the Best Numerical Prediction Model and Designing the Revise System - Temperature Integrated Forecasting System[J]. Shanxi Meteorological Quarterly, 2011, 0(3): 16-18,22 |
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| Authors: | Hu Zhixin |
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| Affiliation: | Hu Zhixin ( Shanxi Meteorological Information Center, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030006 ) |
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| Abstract: | The temperature forecast was integrated based on national guidance forecast products, MOS forecast of Shanxi province and MM5 forecast product. A new objective forecasting method was created through comparing the accuracy of three kinds of forecast products and creating a mathematical model. The system integrated the three kinds of forecasting products and a unified analysis and comparing platform for forecast guidance products. It provides one kind of objective temperature forecast method for forecasters. |
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| Keywords: | Temperature Integrated forecast Deviation correction ways. |
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