| 我国地震谣言传播的现状、原因及政府应对策略 |
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| 引用本文： | 屠泓为, 张晓清, 李启雷, 袁伏全, 冯丽丽. 对地震预测预报的一点思考[J]. 国际地震动态 , 2018, (1): 6-10. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4975.2018.01.005 |
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| 作者姓名： | 屠泓为 张晓清 李启雷 袁伏全 冯丽丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 青海省地震局，西宁 810001 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地震局星火计划（XH16039）及留学择优计划项目（[2016]384）联合资助。 |
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| 摘 要： | 从基层地震工作者的视野，对地震预测预报存在的困难进行了探讨，讨论了地震学与社会地震学的相关性。结合现状，对相关仪器性能、人才队伍建设、日常工作与科学研究的关系、地震预测预报信心不足、科学研究与地震预测预报衔接等问题进行了一定的分析和描述。最后，结合地震预测预报岗位特征及工作现状提出了一点粗浅的建议与设想。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震预测/预报 地震学 社会地震学 建议与设想 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-11-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018-01-03 |
Some thoughts on earthquake prediction and forecast |
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| Hongwei Tu, Xiaoqing Zhang, Qilei Li, Fuquan Yuan, Lili Feng. Some thoughts on earthquake prediction and forecast[J]. Progress in Earthquake Sciences, 2018, (1): 6-10. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4975.2018.01.005 |
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| Authors: | Hongwei Tu Xiaoqing Zhang Qilei Li Fuquan Yuan Lili Feng |
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| Affiliation: | Qinghai Earthquake Agency，Xining 810001，China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the perspective of earthquake researchers, we summarized the difficulties of the earthquake forecast and prediction, and analyzed the relationship between natural seismology and social seismology. In the current situation, we discussed the anti-interference ability and the stability of the instruments, talent team construction, the relationship between daily work and the scientific research requirements, the insufficient confidence of earthquake prediction and forecast, scientific research and earthquake prediction/forecast, and etc. Finally, we provided some preliminary suggestions and ideas. |
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| Keywords: | earthquake prediction/forecast seismology social seismology suggestion and assumption |
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