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长江荆江分蓄洪区历史演变、前景和风险管理
引用本文:叶丽梅, 彭涛, 周月华, 高伟, 牛奔, 刘旭东. 2016: 基于GIS淹没模型的洪水演进模拟及检验. 暴雨灾害, 35(3): 285-290. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2016.03.012
作者姓名:叶丽梅  彭涛  周月华  高伟  牛奔  刘旭东
作者单位:1.武汉区域气候中心,武汉 430074;2.中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 暴雨监测预警湖北省重点实验室,武汉 430074;3.中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京 100081;4.中国地质大学,武汉 430074;5.武汉中心气象台,武汉 430074;6.湖北省仙桃市气象局,仙桃 433000;7.内蒙古自治区航空遥感测绘院,呼和浩特 010050
基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2013CB430206);公益性行业(气象)专项(GYHY201306056);湖北省气象局科技课题项目(2015Z02、2015Q02);灾害天气国家重点实验室开放基金项目(2014LASW-B09);武汉暴雨研究所基本业务项目(IHRKYYW201604)
摘    要:

用部分溃坝的波流与堰流相交法模拟淦河流域溃口点的流量。以溃口点的流量、DEM为基础数据, 利用GIS的暴雨洪涝淹没模型, 对2010年7月14日淦河流域由强降水引发的溃口式洪水淹没过程进行模拟, 并利用实际灾情对模拟结果进行检验分析。模拟结果表明:随着洪水演进, 淦河流域的淹没面积不断地增大, 其中0.5~1 m水深段的淹没面积增长最快; 14日18时, 洪水到达任窝村, 20时淹没至马桥镇, 22时淹没至严洲村。灾情调查检验结果显示, 对于洪水到达时间和地点, 淹没模型模拟值与实况值较为吻合, 表明该模型在溃口式洪水淹没过程方面具有较好的模拟效果。



关 键 词:暴雨洪涝  淹没模型  洪水演进模拟  模型检验
收稿时间:2015-10-21

A simple inertial formulation of the shallow water equations for efficient two-dimensional flood inundation modelling
YE Limei, PENG Tao, ZHOU Yuehua, GAO Wei, NIU Ben, LIU Xudong. 2016: Simulation and test of flood routing based on GIS Rainstorm Flood Inundation Model. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 35(3): 285-290. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2016.03.012
Authors:YE Limei  PENG Tao  ZHOU Yuehua  GAO Wei  NIU Ben  LIU Xudong
Affiliation:1.Wuhan Regional Climate Centre, Wuhan 430074;2.Hubei Key Laboratory for Heavy Rain Monitoring and Warning Research, Institute of Heavy Rain, CMA, Wuhan 430074;3.State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather/Chenese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081;4.China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074;5.Wuhan Central Meteorological Observatory, Wuhan 430074;6.Xiantao Meteorological Office of Hubei Province, Xiantao 433000;7.The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region aerial remote sensing surveying and Mapping Institute, Hohhot 010050
Abstract:A simplified method of wave current and weir flow intersection from the experiences of several dam-breaks was used to simulate the flood discharges from the Ganhe river during the dam-break on July 14, 2010.Flood routing of the dam-break was simulated by using GIS flood drowned model based on the flood discharges and DEM data.The simulation results was tested by using disaster result analysis.The result shows that the inundated areas of Ganhe river basin were constantly increasing with flood routing, especially for the 0.5~1 meters depth section of the inundated areas.The flood arrived in Renwo viliage at 18:00 on the 14th, then flooded to Maqiao and Yanzhou viliage at 20:00 and 22:00.According to the disaster investigation, in both the aspects of flooding time and flooding location, the simulation result of rainstorm inundation model agrees with the fact.This indicates that the model can better simulate the flood evolution of dam-breaks.
Keywords:rainstorm flood  inundation model  flood routing simulation  model checking
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