| 气候变化适应措施的选择与偏好分析——基于青藏高原生态功能保护区的调查 |
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| 引用本文： | 周景博,杨小明,何霄嘉,尹云鹤,赵东升.气候变化适应措施的选择与偏好分析——基于青藏高原生态功能保护区的调查[J].气候变化研究进展,2016,12(6):484-493. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周景博 杨小明 何霄嘉 尹云鹤 赵东升 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国人民大学环境学院，北京 100872；
2 环境保护部环境经济与政策研究中心，北京 100029；
3 中国21世纪议程管理中心，北京 100038；
4 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所，北京 100101 |
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| 摘 要： | 以青藏高原生态功能保护区为案例，基于专家判断，采用层次分析法（AHP），对气候变化适应措施进行了优先性排序，结果表明生态功能保护气候变化专项资金、载畜量控制配套工程和产业结构调整规划是相对最重要的适应措施；决策与执行者、决策支持者和科学研究者对不同适应措施存在一定偏好差异，这些差异与不同利益相关者的职能、适应措施执行时所牵涉的利益关系等有一定联系。将AHP应用于适应措施择优的可行性探索对国家气候变化适应战略具有一定方法论意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 适应 优先序 层次分析法（AHP） |
| 收稿时间： | 2016-05-12 |
| 修稿时间： | 2016-08-22 |
Priorities and Preferences Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Measures-Based on the Survey of EFCAs on Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau |
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| Zhou Jingbo,Yang Xiaoming,He Xiaojia,Yin Yunhe,Zhao Dongsheng.Priorities and Preferences Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Measures-Based on the Survey of EFCAs on Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau[J].Advances in Climate Change,2016,12(6):484-493. |
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| Authors: | Zhou Jingbo Yang Xiaoming He Xiaojia Yin Yunhe Zhao Dongsheng |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China; 2.Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100029, China; 3.The Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21, Beijing 100038, China; 4.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China |
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| Abstract: | Taking Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau ecological function conservation areas (EFCAs) as a case, priorities were set to climate change adaptation measures based on expert judgment by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The results showed that the special funds of climate change of ecological function conservation, supporting projects to feed-animal balance control and the adjustment of industrial structure are the most important measures. Then, preferences were compared between decision makers, decision supporters and scientific researchers. The results showed that the difference is relevant to functions and their specific interest of the stakeholders. It is also proved that AHP is a useful and meaningful tool for preferring adaptation measures in the national climate change adaptation strategies. |
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| Keywords: | climate change adaptation priorities AHP |
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