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The rapidly shrinking cryopshere in the past decade:an interpretation of cryospheric changes from IPCC WGI Sixth Assessment Report北大核心CSCD
作者姓名:钟歆玥  康世昌  郭万钦  吴晓东  陈金雷
作者单位:1.中国科学院 西北生态环境资源研究院 甘肃省遥感重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 730000;2.中国科学院 西北生态环境资源研究院 冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 730000;3.中国科学院大学,北京 100049
基金项目:中国科学院国际伙伴计划“北极冰冻圈变化与可持续发展国际大科学计划”(131B62KYSB20180003);冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室自主课题(SKLCS-ZZ-2021)
摘    要:The Working Group I report of the Sixth Assessment Report(AR6)of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)was released in August 2021. Base on updated and expanding data, AR6 presented the improved assessment of past changes and processes of cryosphere. AR6 also predicted the future changes us⁃ ing the models in CMIP6. The components of cryosphere were rapid shrinking under climate warming in the last decade. There were decreasing trends in Arctic sea-ice area and thickness. Sea-ice loss was significant. The Greenland Ice Sheet, the Antarctic Ice Sheet and all glaciers lost more mass than in any other decade. Global warming over the last decades had led to widespread permafrost warming, active layer thickness increasing and subsea permafrost extent reducing. Snow cover extent in the Northern Hemisphere also decreased significantly. However, the variations of snow depth and snow water equivalent showed great spatial heterogeneity. The rapid shrinking of the cryosphere accelerated the global mean sea level rise. The impact of human activities on cryo⁃ sphere will become more significant in the future. The Arctic sea-ice area will decrease, and the Arctic Ocean will likely become practically sea ice-free. The Greenland Ice Sheet, the Antarctic Ice Sheet and glaciers will continue to lose mass throughout this century. Permafrost and Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent will con⁃ tinue to decrease as global climate continues to warm. In addition, there are still uncertainties in the prediction of cryosphere due to the absence of observations, the poor sensitivity of models to the components and processes of cryosphere, and the inexplicit represent of the mechanism of light-absorbing impurities. More attentions should be paid on these issues in the future. © 2022 Science Press (China). All rights reserved.

关 键 词:IPCC  第六次评估报告  冰冻圈  气候变化  预估
收稿时间:2021-10-03
修稿时间:2021-10-31
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