首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     


Regression modeling method of space weather prediction
Authors:A. S. Parnowski
Affiliation:(1) Space Research Institute of NASU and NSAU, prosp. Akad. Glushkova, 40, korp. 4/1, 03680 MSP Kiev-187, Ukraine
Abstract:A regression modeling method of space weather prediction is proposed. It allows forecasting Dst index up to 6 hours ahead with about 90% correlation. It can also be used for constructing phenomenological models of interaction between the solar wind and the magnetosphere. With its help two new geoeffective parameters were found: latitudinal and longitudinal flow angles of the solar wind. It was shown that Dst index remembers its previous values for 2000 hours.
Keywords:Space weather  Prediction  Forecasting  Magnetic storms  Statistics  Regression
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号